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TRX Price Prediction 2025-2040: Analyzing Technicals and Market Sentiment

TRX Price Prediction 2025-2040: Analyzing Technicals and Market Sentiment

Author:
TRX News
Published:
2025-07-03 15:15:20
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[TRADE_PLUGIN]TRXUSDT,TRXUSDT[/TRADE_PLUGIN]

#TRX

  • Technical Breakout: TRX testing upper Bollinger Band with MACD nearing bullish crossover
  • Institutional Interest: Grayscale ETF inclusion offsets short-term outflow concerns
  • Ecosystem Strength: SunSwap volumes and USDT dominance provide fundamental support

TRX Price Prediction

TRX Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Emerge Amid Market Recovery

TRX is currently trading at $0.2847, above its 20-day moving average ($0.2744), signaling bullish momentum. The MACD histogram remains negative (-0.002472) but shows narrowing bearish divergence as the signal line (0.001750) approaches convergence. Bollinger Bands indicate volatility compression with price testing the upper band ($0.283747), suggesting potential breakout conditions.notes BTCC's William.

TRXUSDT

TRX Faces Mixed Fundamentals Amid Ecosystem Growth

While TRON's DeFi ecosystem shows robust activity through SunSwap and JustLend, the network faces headwinds with $185M outflows and 4-year low revenue. Grayscale's inclusion of TRX in future ETF products provides institutional validation, offset by competitive pressure from emerging tokens like LILPEPE.observes William from BTCC,

Factors Influencing TRX's Price

Low-Cap Meme Token LILPEPE Emerges as Potential Challenger to ADA, TRX, and DOGE

As the crypto market anticipates another bull cycle, investors are shifting focus to micro-cap assets with explosive growth potential. LILPEPE, currently trading under $0.002, is gaining traction as a speculative alternative to established players like Cardano (ADA), Tron (TRX), and Dogecoin (DOGE).

The token combines meme virality with purported utility, positioning itself as a high-risk, high-reward play. While ADA ($21B market cap), TRX ($29B), and DOGE ($26B) maintain top-10 dominance, their massive valuations make multi-bagger returns increasingly improbable compared to emerging tokens.

Market dynamics suggest a growing appetite for narrative-driven assets during capital rotation phases. LILPEPE's sub-penny entry point and Pepe the Frog meme association create fertile ground for speculative trading, though sustainable adoption remains unproven.

TRON Faces $185M Outflow as TRX Revenue Hits 4-Year Low

TRON, once a standout in the blockchain arena, now grapples with mounting sustainability concerns as on-chain metrics flash warning signs. A modest 4.43% monthly gain for TRX belies deeper turbulence—network revenue has collapsed to $114,000 daily, its weakest since 2020.

The exodus of $185 million in stablecoins following June's $80 billion supply peak signals eroding confidence. Users appear to be migrating to rival chains, a behavioral shift that historically precedes extended downturns when coupled with deteriorating fundamentals.

TRON's DeFi Ecosystem Thrives in 2025 with SunSwap and JustLend Leading the Charge

TRON's decentralized exchange SunSwap has maintained swap volumes exceeding $3 billion monthly throughout 2025, peaking at $3.8 billion in May. The platform's WTRX/USDT pair dominates, accounting for 62% of all top trading pairs. June saw $2.3 billion in volume with 8.6 billion WTRX swapped—still above 2024's monthly average of 8.8 billion WTRX.

JustLend, TRON's lending protocol, has tripled deposits since January, reaching a record $740 million in April. The network also achieved a new USDT transfer milestone of $23.4 billion in a single day. Despite meme coin volatility in late 2024, 2025's monthly transaction average of 516,000 significantly outpaces pre-hype 2024 levels.

TRON Dominates Stablecoin Transfers and Growth in USDT Activity

TRON's network is largely driven by stablecoin transfers, with over 99% of all its trading activity coming from USDT transactions, which are mostly peer-to-peer. In 2024, TRON reached its highest Tether (USDT) trading activity, processing about $17.9 million in transfers and 5.46 trillion in DeFi and trading. The platform has gained more users due to the introduction of zero-gas USDT transfers, making transactions more efficient and cost-effective. According to data from Messari, over 99% of TRON's network activities come from stablecoin transfers.

SOL, DOGE Lead Gains as Crypto Markets Rebound

Bitcoin and broader crypto markets are gaining on Friday, following a sharp decline alongside traditional markets on Thursday. Solana's SOL and Dogecoin (DOGE) have risen over 4% in the past 24 hours, leading gains among majors. Other cryptocurrencies such as XRP (XRP), BNB Chain's BNB, and Tron's TRX are up between 2%-3%. However, Ether (ETH) has continued its dismal run, down 2.4% and losing 12% in the past week. The recent announcement of a 90-day pause on new tariffs, excluding those on China, sparked a brief relief rally across risk assets, which could set the stage for Bitcoin to push towards $100,000 by year-end.

Grayscale Reveals 2025 Altcoin Picks: Plume Network, Berachain, and More Join the List

Grayscale, one of the largest digital asset managers in the world, has refreshed its “Assets Under Consideration” list for Q2 2025, highlighting 40 altcoins that could be included in future investment products. This includes assets like Plume Network ($PLUME - not specifically mentioned in the provided list but implied by context), Berachain, and others such as $APT, $ARB, $TIA, $HBAR, $MNT, $TON, $TRX, among others. This move gives us a sneak peek into what Grayscale sees as the next big trends in the crypto space.

TRON Joins ETF Race as Grayscale Adds TRX to Future Products

Grayscale Investments has added TRON (TRX) to its list of “Future Investment Products,” sparking speculation about a potential TRX ETF. Following the announcement, TRON founder Justin Sun expressed his happiness, stating that the competition for a TRX ETF is intensifying. Despite a market downturn, TRX has been outperforming many top 100 tokens, consistently trading above its 200 EMA year-to-date. Grayscale will update its list quarterly, reflecting the dynamic crypto market and potential new single-asset product launches.

Most Altcoins Entering Ideal Buying Zone, According to Santiment

Santiment, a blockchain analysis company, has revealed that most altcoins are currently in a favorable buying zone for investors. The analysis is based on the MVRV ratio, which compares the current market value of a crypto to its realized value. When this ratio falls below 1, it indicates that the average investor holds their assets at a loss, historically representing interesting entry points in the market.

Meta Accused of Assisting China's AI Ambitions

Sarah Wynn-Williams, a former senior Meta executive turned whistleblower, will testify before the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Crime and Counterterrorism, accusing Meta of secretly aiding the Chinese Communist Party while misleading Congress, employees, and the American public. Wynn-Williams alleges that there is a direct link between Meta's briefings and recent revelations that China is developing AI models for military use, relying on Meta's LLaMA model.

TRON DAO Sponsors Yale Blockchain Conference 2025

TRON DAO sponsored the Happy Hour Reception at the Yale Blockchain Conference on April 4, 2025. The event gathered blockchain innovators, students, and thought leaders from top universities like NYU, Harvard, MIT, BU, Columbia, and Fordham. The conference, themed “Blockchain Applications Across Industries,” explored blockchain's transformative role in sectors such as healthcare, finance, supply chain, AI, art, law, gaming, and more. Interactive segments and special prize giveaways were also part of the event.

XRP, TRX Holders in Profit while ETH, SOL Investors Suffer

Amid the recent market turbulence, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode highlighted an intriguing divergence in crypto asset profitability. While XRP and TRX continue to boast strong unrealized gains for holders, others, particularly Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), investors have suffered. Ethereum is currently trading at $1,566 with a 24-hour volatility of 0.6%, a market cap of $188.97 B, and a 24-hour volume of $27.90 B. Solana is trading at $110.4 with a 24-hour volatility of 3.3%.

TRX Price Predictions: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

YearPrice Target (USDT)Key Drivers
2025$0.32-$0.45ETF speculation, DeFi TVL growth
2030$0.75-$1.20Stablecoin adoption, institutional custody
2035$1.50-$2.80Network effect, interchain integration
2040$3.00-$5.00Scaling solutions, legacy financial adoption

William cautions: 'These projections assume TRON maintains its top-3 position in stablecoin transfers. Regulatory clarity remains the largest variable.'

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